W8_Afra_Time Evaluation for Submitting Bidding Proposal
1. Problem
Recognition
Project
procurement management is a collaboration with outside suppliers in order to
obtain or purchase goods and services for projects. These relationships are
often created based on a contract so that the needed items or services are
received on time and meet the standards requested by the purchasing company.
Our company is
specialized in project procurement, and one of the current running projects is
purchasing of a system by releasing RfP to the market. In this week blog
posting, I will run an analysis related to time and cost, to prepare ideal
proposal in bid process for contractor.
The result is
estimate time for contractor to prepare the bidding. Then we will compare the
results with company regulation, which is 35 working days to submit bidding
proposal.
Table
one below shows the Project Classification around the world in term of its
cost.
Table 1: Project Classification
2.
Feasible alternatives
There are many methodologies
that can be used to categorize cost estimate types. The most significant of
these is Degree of Project Definition which is Categorizing cost
estimates by degree of project definition. This methodology contains of two characteristics
which are the “primary” and the “secondary” characteristics.
Five cost
estimate classes have been established. While the level of project definition
is a continuous spectrum. The estimate class designations are labeled Class 1,
2, 3, 4, and 5. A Class 5 estimate is based upon the lowest level of project
definition, and a Class 1 estimate is closest to full project definition and
maturity.
Table 2: Generic Cost Estimate Classification Matrix
3. Development of the
outcome of Alternative
Based on Table 2 above, cost estimate can be classified
as follow:
1. Class 5 estimates are generally prepared base on very
limited information.
2. Class 4 estimates are typically used for project
screening, determination of feasibility, concept evaluation, and preliminary
budget approval.
3. Class 3 estimates are used as the project budget until
replaced by more detailed estimates.
4. Class 2 estimates are often used as the “bid” estimate to
establish contract value for contractors.
5. Class 1 estimates are typically prepared to form a
current control estimate to be used as the final control baseline.
4.
Selection Criteria
Level
2 estimate are ideal for contractor to use in tender. Based on table 1, also
estimate effort ranges from 0.025% to 0.1% of project cost.
5.
Analysis and
comparison of the Alternative
The rate for cost
estimator used here is $ 30.2/hour for people holding bachelor’s degree.
However, keep in consideration that the normal workweek exists only when
progress meets all its milestones and does not require overtime hours.
Figure 1 below shows
the work time productivity. For ideal condition (100% productivity) is 5 days a
week and 8 hours per day, and for worst condition (72%productivity) is 7 days a
week and 12 hours per day.
Figure 1: Work Time Productivity Chart
According to the
project value, the table below shows the preparation efforts in order to
complete the project as scheduled.
Table 3 below shows
the estimation of bid effort according to project value in USD, describing what
is the maximum and minimum hours and maximum and minimum days in the 100%
productivity and 72% productivity.
Table 3: Estimate Bid Effort
6.
Selection of the
preferred Alternative
Most of our project
considered as a medium project since their cost in the range between $1M to
$3M. Based on the country law, contractor should submit their proposal in not less
than 40 business days. Which means that the company already gives enough
duration for the contractors to submit their bids, according to table 3 above, 12
days to 40 days and 17 days to 62 days for 72% productivity.
Moreover, if the
duration in the range mentioned above, the contractor will have better estimate
and minimize possibility of change order during project execution. Also, company
will get competitive bidding and lower the risk for change order or breach in
the middle of project, while contractor have more time to prepare their
proposal and avoid “buying” the project.
7.
Performance Monitoring
and the Post Evaluation of result
The cost and time to prepare bidding document
should be monitor not exceed the budget range
and time allowance, or contractor
will at risk of bankruptcy.
References:
1. AACE International
Recommended Practice No. 17R-97
Retrieved from http://www.anvari.net/Risk%20Analysis/17r-97.pdf
Retrieved from http://www.anvari.net/Risk%20Analysis/17r-97.pdf
2. Project
Classification (Jan, 2008)
Retrived from https://www.softed.com/assets/Uploads/Resources/Business-Analysis/Project-classification.pdf
Retrived from https://www.softed.com/assets/Uploads/Resources/Business-Analysis/Project-classification.pdf
3. Effects
of Extended Work Time on Productivity (2017)
Retrived from https://www.conest.com/wp-content/uploads/EffectsOfExtendedWorkTime.pdf
Retrived from https://www.conest.com/wp-content/uploads/EffectsOfExtendedWorkTime.pdf
AWESOME case study Afra, but I need to challenge you on a couple of points:
ReplyDelete1) IF you are PAYING SOMEONE $30.20 an hour. then when you add in the OVERHEAD and PROFIT the normal markup is between 1.7 and 2.0. So your calculations are off. To see how to calculate this for Oman, go the the SUPPLEMENTAL MATERIAL and under the COST TAB you will see how we calculate that multiplier.
2) Go to http://www.planningplanet.com/guild/gpccar/updating-using-the-project-database and scroll on down to Figure 8. Steve Revay has published what I believe to be the single best analysis of the impact that overtime has on productivity.
I will ACCEPT this blog posting but would challenge you to redo it but this time use the BILLING COSTS and make your recommendations based on those calculations.
BR,
Dr. PDG, Jakarta, Indonesia